Analisis Determinan Ekspor Komoditas Kelapa Sawit (HS 1511) di Indonesia Periode 2010-2025
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.57235/hemat.v3i2.9096Keywords:
Ekspor Kelapa Sawit, Harga Internasional, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, ProduksiAbstract
Komoditas kelapa sawit merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor unggulan Indonesia yang berperan penting dalam penerimaan devisa negara. Selama periode 2010–2025, perkembangan ekspor komoditas kelapa sawit (HS 1511) di Indonesia mengalami fluktuasi yang diduga dipengaruhi oleh harga internasional, nilai tukar rupiah, dan produksi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perkembangan ekspor komoditas kelapa sawit (HS 1511) di Indonesia periode 2010–2025 serta menganalisis pengaruh harga internasional, nilai tukar rupiah, dan produksi terhadap ekspor komoditas kelapa sawit di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder berbentuk time series periode 2010–2025 yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan World Bank. Analisis data dilakukan menggunakan regresi linear berganda dengan bantuan SPSS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa perkembangan ekspor komoditas kelapa sawit Indonesia selama periode penelitian mengalami fluktuasi. Harga internasional berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ekspor, sedangkan nilai tukar rupiah dan produksi tidak berpengaruh signifikan. Secara simultan, ketiga variabel berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor dengan koefisien determinasi sebesar 87,5%, sedangkan 12,5% dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar penelitian.
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